Publication

Imperial College report on Climate Change and the Future of Food

The Imperial College Business School released the first half of a two-part report concerning Climate Change and the Future of Food. This first part analises the risks to the agriculture sector. In this report, the known risks of climate change on the agriculture sector are extended and expanded on by examining the failings of major climate models to analyse extreme weather events, nor to address the immediacy of the significant impacts of climate change upon the agricultural system. The report shows the failings of major climate scenarios to include these effects and how financial institutions must seek greater resilience of agricultural systems.
Agricultural physical risk assessment needs to consider more extreme scenarios of climate change impacts to capture potential financial risks. There is a critical role for financial institutions in encouraging greater resilience of agricultural systems, especially in emerging markets. Firms that can make the necessary investments to mitigate the risks will fare better than those lacking access to capital.

The second report on nature-based solutions will be released in October 2021.

Here you can find the report.

More publications

Reducing material requirements while decarbonising the Spanish economy: from a green growth to a postgrowth paradigm

30 July 2026

The transition to a low-carbon economy is expected to increase material requirements, as low-carbon technologies (LCTs) typically require more materials than fossil fuel-based energy systems. Here, we extend the MEDEAS-Spain Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) to improve the representation of material requirements, stocks, and flows. Key novelties are: (i) the use

Climate ambition explained: key indicators and net-zero target projections using machine learning

29 July 2026

This study uses advanced machine learning algorithms to analyze the indicators influencing national climate ambition in 2030 emissions targets and net-zero pledges. By focusing on technical and social feasibility, and political credibility, we assess climate ambition of countries through cumulative per capita emissions from 2021 to the net-zero target year.

A harmonised dataset for Earth system foundation models

28 July 2026

Foundation models for Earth systems have so far been trained primarily on physical climate and weather data, with limited representation of the human systems that both drive and respond to environmental change. The lack of a unified global training resource that combines climate, land, ocean, cryosphere, infrastructure, hazards, and socioeconomic