Announcement
Model based climate and emissions scenarios are pivotal instruments for determining whether proposed actions align with the long term goals.
Model-based climate and emissions scenarios are pivotal instruments for determining whether proposed actions align with the long-term goals. Many global model scenarios have been developed under specific model inter-comparison projects (MIPs) by sharing scenario implementation protocols that prescribe the characteristics of the scenarios (e.g. carbon budgets, technological availability). Similarly to the role of global emissions scenarios in international negotiations, national scenarios have widely contributed to national policy making. The national scenarios are provided by national modelling teams in several countries and regions and in some cases, results are largely disseminated in governmental reports or as internal information and occasionally shared in academic papers.
Apart from scenarios, real national emissions targets for both the near-term and long-term have often changed and will continue to do so in the future under various political and social circumstances. If only scenarios under specific but limited emissions reduction targets are available, the national scenarios are quickly outdated and become irrelevant.
The new IAMC Scientific Working Group (SWG) on National Scenarios aims to:
The SWG will be jointly chaired by Shinichiro Fujimori (U Kyoto and NIES) and Roberto Schaeffer (PPE/COPPE/UFRJ) in cooperation with regional co-ordinators.
People of the IAMC Community interested in contributing to the SWG activities are encouraged to contact the SWG Chairs.
Read more about the Scientific Working Group (SWG) on National Scenarios
